It is currently 1-1 after day 1, so this match practically can decide whole outcome as this is not in my opinion one sided match as bookies suggest. I mean 1,35 on ML is bad joke, Egor deserves more credit for his tennis this season. He won yesterday against Kohlschreiber with some good tennis, and fired whooping 20 aces. This will be for sure match between 2 heavy hitters in 1st place, where serves will be crucial for both. In that scenario where we can expect close match and probably 3 sets od very 2 tight ones, I can not resist +3,5 on underdog.
Struff is always dangerous for anyone when he is in the mood, but he also knows to go into black mind series often, so not very reliable in general. Ofc home crowd support is still something that is important factor, but it is still not enough for me to buy this unbalanced odds. German was always nothing special on return games, so I expect from Egor to keep it close with another strong serving performance.
Struff vs Gerasimov betting tips
Gerasimov +3.5 games (Stake: 7)Odds: 1.80 at Bet365
Result: 2-0 LOST (-7 units)