Mainly opposition for this pick. Value is here and on minimal stakes it is worth of shot.
So Cressy decided to play 3rd challenger in a row after reaching 2 finals in both previously. I am not really convinced if that is right decision since he played so many matches in previous weeks. Fatigue had impact on his game in general, he took several MTO's in different matches and seems like that also affected his serving performance. Cressy had 70+ aces last week which is very good, but he also made whooping 50+ double faults which is extremely high. That is 10+ DF's per match basically. His usually bad movement was even more limited and he was giving many break chances.
Verbeek did not play that much this season. Only 2 matches, but he managed to snatch a win here in qualifies against Robert in 2 sets. Good thing is he already played match in this conditions while Cressy will be moving from indoors where he played last 2 weeks to outdoors, where are totally different conditions. He may be affected by wind or sun when serving which is another fact. I just think with all going on right now, he can not be priced this low. I will watch this game and see how things will go, but in my opinion he won't get far here, especially because he plays against Sinner in R2 if he wins here.
Verbeek vs Cressy betting tips
Verbeek (Stake: 1)Odds: 6.72 at Pinnacle
Result: 2-0 WON (+5.72 units)