First of all, thanks for having me in this comunity, I hope my predictions will be profitable for all those who decide to follow ...
I watched both of them today and i gathered some solid facts for this bet. First of all I wouldn't say Tsitsipas has the edge when it comes to fitness level. Thruth, Evans played tough 3 setters in firts 2 rounds, but he looked ok to me against Rublev in that section. More so, he played exellect match with right strategy from the begining. Rublev did not now what to do with his slices and I think Stefanos will face same problem tomorrow. He is a player who relies on bouncing energy from oponent's shots, but Dan's slices are practicly hard to attack and most of the time 'dead' with very low bounce. Just a reminder, Tsitsipas is coming straight from Marseille, many matches in last couple of days and fatigue kicked in at some point today against Struff. German played overall very good, but was failing at key points most of the time. Only about 50% of 1st serve costed him win, and Stefanos knew how to take advantage of that and go through.
After match Stefanos said he is not going to lie, he is feeling tired and will do all things he need to do to be ready for this match. Also, in 2nd set he had some problems with his left leg ( do not know if that will be important factor tomorrow) and if match progreses, that could have impact on his performance.
I like this bet in particular because of the fact that Tsitsipas is playing long sets here in most cases. If a player like Bublik covered this handicap, I think for a in-form player like Evans that should not be the problem. Tsitsipas is better overall, but i am not sure how much he has left in the tank. Evans will make him run a lot with his mixed game, and Brit is very good in defence in this tournament so far.
Evans vs Tsitsipas betting tips
Evans +4.5 games (Stake: 8)Odds: 1.72 at Pinnacle
Result: 0-2 LOST (-8 units)