Valencia vs Sevilla by Jimeno

In one of more interesting matches so far in LaLiga, Valencia managed to take all three points away from home against Betis in a 6:3 victory last weekend, mostly due to great efficiency they had in attack. Apart from that, the game itself was quite a balanced one and if the things developed slightly different, the result could have been way different as well.

They have entered better into the match and took the double lead within last ten minutes of the first halftime thanks to goals from Kondogbia and Guedes, but the home side was obviously better in the second halftime missing some great chances including a penalty kick - however, conceded twice more (Rodrigo and Mina). Still managed to made their comeback into the game with three goals within five minutes (from 79th to 84th minute), but the guests were lucky to clear the worries in 88th minute via Zaza, adding another one in third minute of additional time via Pereira. Valencia now has four consecutive victories and keeps the second position with four points less than leaders from Barcelona.

Hosts should continue in 4-4-2 formation with Moreno and Zaza as forwards. Defender Javi Jimenez remains sidelined still coming off from injury, while some problems have forward Fabian Orellana and defender Ruben Vezo, but could be involved for this one.

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Sevilla comes from a narrow 1:0 defeat away from home against Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga last weekend, as the side failed to present themselves more threatening in attack even though they had fair amount of chances, but simply presented to be concrete in final effort. They were better in the first halftime and had much more of the ball possession, however hosts took the lead in 43rd minute via Vesga, while continued being better in second, but with less of concrete things done in attack.

This defeat was their second in previous three LaLiga matches, as the side now stands sharing the fourth position together with Atletico Madrid, with just two points less than Valencia so this game is a perfect chance for them to climb up at the table. They have suffered more than heavy 5:1 defeat away to Spartak Moscow last Tuesday evening in Champions League once again being way better on the field than what the final result shows, but still having decent chances to progress since the side has four points, while leading duo from Liverpool and Spartak Moscow have five points each.

Guests should be playing in 4-3-3 formation with Navas, Muriel and Correa as forwards. Defender Daniel Carrico (3/0) and Nico Pareja (2/0) are both sidelined being injured, while idfielder Steven N'Zonzi picked up minor ankle problem and shouldn't be playing here.

  • Valencia have scored at least 3 goals in their last 4 matches (La Liga).
  • Valencia are undefeated in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla.

Valencia is now a favorite in this one and it's a correct move from bookies. However, they shouldn't be set as such favorites in my eyes as the odds suggest. Sevilla is vulnerable at the moment, especially after their defeat in Moscow and surely will be difficult opponent to be defeated here. I expect both teams searching for a victory, especially the visitors should be more than active trying to do something in attack.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score @ 1.83 with Bet365
Result: 4-0 (lost)
+34 -5

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