Ull/Kisa vs Kristiansand by 20Legend

Ull/Kisa has been like day and night in terms of playing at home (7-3-3) or away (0-4-9) this season. However, it is their brilliant home form with a unbeaten run from the middle of May (7-2-0) that has put them in the position as the best team in the relegation zone at the moment. They are in 13th place with 28 points which is only one point behind the secure 12th place and three points up to 11th placed Fredrikstad. Ull/Kisa’s last match against Strommen (2-1) away from home became too tough in the end and it was a fair result as well.

Ull/Kisa made the most of it as always by making it hard for their opponent to break them down. Strommen had most of the ball, but did not manage to score before halftime. The second half was 10 minutes old when Strommen’s Mickels came right from the bench and scored 1-0. The game then held the same direction as before the goal with Strommen searching for spaces to break through Ull/Kisa’s defensive line. The history repeated itself when Strommen’s second substitute came right from the bench and scored after 78 minutes. Ull/Kisa realized that the task was too tough and they started to take more chances towards the end. It paid off with a goal after 89 minutes, but it was not enough to challenge Strommen for a point.

Kristiansund struggled a bit when they beat rock bottom Raufoss (1-2) two weeks ago without their top scorer Bamba. It was therefore all set for a better performance at home against in-form Mjondalen when their top scorer returned after suspension. However, it was the rather opposite that happened with Mjondalen shocking the league leaders from the beginning. A tough first half was ended by Mjondalen taking the lead just before halftime.

Kristiansund struggled on getting their usual play to work and they did not manage to take advantage Mjondalen’s red card after 57 minutes. Instead, Mjondalen extended their lead before putting on a more defensive style in order to secure the win. The home team got even worse task on breaking Mjondalen down after that which led to a quite shocking loss for Kristiansund. They still lead the league, but it is only one point down to 2nd placed Sandefjord after they won their match yesterday against Hodd (3-0).

It is bottom half against the very top tonight, but I think that Ull/Kisa can give Kristiansund some trouble. Their home form cannot be underestimated either with six straight wins even if their opponents in those games have come from the 7th place and down to the bottom half. Kristiansund is the league leaders for a reason, but showed that it is not impossible to score against them as the game against Raufoss (1-2) showed last time they travelled. Ull/Kisa both scores and concedes a lot in their games which has led to an average 3.6 goals at home this season. I consider the game to be more open than the odds are suggesting even if Kristiansund is the natural favorites on paper.

Ull/Kisa must use their momentum at home in order to get over the red line, no matter what the name of the opponent should be. The teams in a relegation setting are always difficult to face so late in the season. With 12th placed Hodd losing their match against Sandefjord (3-0) yesterday, Ull/Kisa can climb above them on the safe spot with a draw tonight. I therefore conclude that this is a game that should involve goals both ways and also at least three goals.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.77 with Pinnacle
Result: 2-3 (won)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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