Udinese vs Milan by Enzo

After a positive start and more than surprising victory in the season opener against Juventus away from home, Udinese disappointed in next three rounds largely and the team suffered all three defeats, being now in the relegation zone and desperate to get back on positive track. Most recently, they come from a 1:2 defeat against Empoli at home last weekend with a goal conceded at the very end of the game.

However, things actually have started well for players from Udine in that one, as Zapata scored the opener in 19th minute and the hosts generally looked more active and with ball possession in the first halftime. However, everything turned for the worse after the middle of second halftime, when their midfielder Kone got second yellow card and was excluded from the game, leaving the home team to play with a man less. Visitors superbly used the situation on the field and managed to score two goals in last twenty minutes - via Paredes in 73rd and in second minute of additional time via Maccarone. Offensive midfielder Panagiotis Kone (4/0) is of course suspended now, while injured remain midfielders Guilherme and Alexander Merkel. Hosts should continue with 3-5-2 formation with Di Natale and in-form Zapata upfront.

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Milan was struggling for a lot of time against Palermo in the previous match played on Sunday evening, but in the end some progress was seen from the team in comparison to previous matches. However, plenty of things are yet to be corrected in their side, especially when speaking about their defensive lineup and general behavior of whole team when standing behind the ball.

Their performances at home have been so-so and the players managed to pull out both victories, against Palermo and Empoli, but the real problems were seen when playing away from home, truth to be told, both times against a bit better opponents, Inter and Fiorentina - both matches lost. They will now try to exploit good form of their offensive players and finally come back with all three points, knowing that Udinese isn't in the best possible form and surely is weaker than two previous opponents on the road. Right back Ignazio Abate probably isn't ready to start the match, but Davide Calabria anyway impressed in the previous game. Left back Luca Antonelli (2/0) is injured, same as midfielder Andrea Bertolacci (2/0) and long term absentees offensive midfielder Jeremy Menez and M'Baye Niang who didn't perform this season yet. Visitors will play in 4-3-1-2 formation most likely with Bacca and Balotelli upfront.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of AC Milan's last 11 games in Serie A.
Udinese have won their last 3 home matches against AC Milan.

Milan has enough individual quality to score three goals by themselves, but the team overall isn't to be trusted at all. I expect an open game with both teams netting, while Udinese taking points and scoring more than once won't be much of a surprise either.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.17 with Pinnacle
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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1 Comment

  1. Young1 says:

    Top top top tipster enzo!

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