Udinese vs Milan by Enzo

Udinese made a small surprise last time out, as the side managed to take all three points away from home against Genoa on Sunday afternoon, thanks to only goal scored via Behrami in 62nd minute. Overall, it was quite a defensive game from both sides with very little to show to the fans.

Players of Genoa were better, with a lot of possession too, but completely inefficient in attack while the guests scored a bit against the flow and then switched completely to a defensive role since 65th when defender Samir got red carded, but the hosts simply couldn't find a way to score.

The side is now at tenth position with six points less than Europa League placed Sampdoria and if they are to take that challenge seriously, they'll need to improve even further.

Lasagna should lead their attack in 3-5-1-1 formation with Paul as offensive midfielder behind him. Central defender Samir (17/2) is suspended for this one, while left back Ali Adnan (13/0) remains injured and out. Doubtful are left back Giuseppe Pezzella (10/0) and right back Silvan Widmer (10/2).


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Milan, on the other side, had many ups and down all season long, but it seems that the side looks much more stable in previous weeks, coming now from their third straight victory in Serie A - last Sunday evening at home against Lazio with a narrow 2:1 result.

The game itself was quite a balanced one, with the players of Milan being better in the first halftime when they got the lead. Firstly Cutrone brought them into the lead in tenth minute, however Marusic leveled up in 20th - still the first halftime belonged to the hosts who re-took the lead in 44th via Bonaventura. Players of Lazio were bit better in second, but the scoreline change never actually came.

The side now stands only on seventh position far below their stardards, but with four points less than Sampdoria and have a chance to close to gap to a one point only in case of a victory today.

Guests are set to play in 4-3-3 formation, most likely with Suso, Cutrone and Calhanoglu as forwards. Giacomo Bonaventura is set to return in the midfield, while injured remain right back Andrea Conti (2/0) and goalkeeper Marco Storari who anyway didn't play so far this season in Serie A.

  • AC Milan have won their last 3 matches (Serie A).
  • Udinese have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches against AC Milan.

Milan will come here with a boosted morale and surely are closer to obtain all three points, as I believe the team will try to score early from the start of the game. Udinese misses couple of defensive players, but anyway their strength have been lying with the offensive work rate. That's why I believe we have obvious value this time when these two meet.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.11 with Pinnacle
Result: 1-1 (lost)
 * Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+23 -11

1 Comment

  1. donmilz says:

    will hev to go under 2,5 as you know Gattuso was a defensive midfielder in his career as a player… also if you look at the starts most games ended under except Lazio coz they hev some top strikers…as well Gattuso in his press conference he admitted that in preparation for this game they were practicing defending…+ udinese dont score a lot….

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Enzo's latest betting tips

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