Martineau vs Coppejans (By: Iniestaone)
Semifinal qualifier for the French Open between Martineau (#450) and Coppejans (#181)
So my upset for Wednesday is that Martineau will defeat Coppejans. I saw his match against Ymer where he did an amazing match as a 5.00 underdog, he won in three sets, he did have some difficulties with his first serve but when he hit it he won a huge 81% of the points. I was really impressed with what I saw from him, his movement on clay is great as he is mainly a clay courter by a small margin, he is a big all-round player. What also helped him a lot was the crowd support. He has been in great form this past month, taking wins against Huesler and De Schepper and narrowly losing to Halys and Molleker.
Coppejans did a much less impressive first round here, 6-3 6-7 6-4 against a Dutra Silva whom he should have been a bigger favorite against as Dutra Silva is playing awful tennis at the moment due to personal issues with his mothers health. He skipped tennis completely for two months between March and May and has 1 win and 4 losses since then. Still, Coppejans could not capitalize of it better. He gave away 12 breakpoints and if Dutra Silva had some more margins on his side then it would be him playing the semis tomorrow.
Coppejans is not playing well at the moment, he is 16/13 overall this season due to fine performances earlier but ever since Carballes Baena defeated him in Murcia in mid April, he has been on a bad run. Three losses and three wins since then, which doesn't look awful but the wins haven't been impressive at all: he barely defeated Bonadio in over three hours as a 1.30 favorite, took a solid 6-1 6-1 win against Futures player Luz in Braga and the win against Dutra Silva. The losses? Well, 1-2 vs Griekspoor as a 1.70 favorite, 0-2 vs Gombos as a 1.66 favorite and 1-2 vs Bega as a 1.10 favorite.
I would not take this bet if it had been in the first round, but now Martineau has gotten past that feeling of winning his first Roland Garros qualifier against a superior player and I think he can repeat that against Coppejans if their first round matches are to be any sort of indication.
Odds are dropping on Martineau a lot but Bet365 are really kind and keeping it at 4.00 as they sometimes refuse to follow the odds movement while others have lowered it to 3.30-3.50 on average.
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Martineau vs Coppejans predictions
|Martineau||Bet365||4.00||6||1-2 LOST (-6 units)|
Martineau vs Coppejans betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).