Djokovic vs Thiem (By: Iniestaone)
Semifinal match from ATP Madrid between Djokovic (#1) and Thiem (#5)
The odds for this match were released around 40 minutes ago and the bookies aren't on par with how big of a favorite Djokovic should be, it ranges from 1.70 to 1.95. Odds will probably be going up a bit on Nole during the night but they should fall on most bookies by tomorrow with one or two outliers
I believe that if you can get Djokovic to win outright at almost twice the money then you should probably always take it.
I know that Nole was watching Thiem vs Federer today and I know that he will copy Federer's game plan and do it better. What he needs to do to defeat Thiem is to keep the points short and avoid long rallies, Federer did very well most of the time but in crucial moments in the tiebreak he allowed Thiem to engage in longer rallies where he will win 9/10 of them on clay against Federer and that got him out of that tiebreak as a winner. I still saw lots of gaps in Thiem's game and he might be a bit jaded after playing a lot of tennis in Spain these last two weeks. His first two sets against Federer were arguably the worst he has done since the first round of Barcelona on April 23rd.
Regarding Djokovic, he is of course not in his best element yet but he looks good and he has had a very comfortable time reaching the semis in Madrid. Two-set victories against Fritz and Chardy and then a walkover win against Cilic who retired due to food poisoning. So he hasn't had to waste a lot of energy while Thiem did over two hours of tennis against Federer that were both mentally and physically exhausting for him.
Back Nole to advance to the finals tomorrow!
€25 Risk Free Bet
Djokovic vs Thiem predictions
|Djokovic||Pinnacle||1.91||8||2-0 WON (+7.28 units)|
Djokovic vs Thiem betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).