Federer vs Thiem (By: Iniestaone)
Quarterfinal match from ATP Madrid between Federer (#3) and Thiem (#5)
I have to say, I'm a bit surprised at how big of a favorite Thiem is. I actually think Federer has a decent chance of winning this but the odds are so good for the over 22 games line that I will go for that instead as even if Federer does win, I think it'll be after a long match.
Federer had a crazy match against Monfils today whom he bageled in the first but Monfils came back and it was dramatic up until the very end as Federer won the third set in a tiebreak.
For Thiem, things have been rolling on since he won Barcelona, but I don't feel like he has been properly tested in Madrid yet this year. He took out a weary Fognini last time around and before that he won against Opelka who won the first set but had to retire due to back issues.
Thiem has 3-2 on Federer in head to head and the line of 22 games was crossed in 3 of those matches, the only ones that went under were two quick Federer wins which we can assume won't happen today.
Federer has now had two matches and five sets to adapt to the surface which I think is enough for him to challenge Thiem, especially on this high altitude court in Madrid which is faster and takes less adaptation than slow courts for Fed who is coming from Miami. We should see a great match here and many good baseline duels and most likely three sets.
€25 Risk Free Bet
Federer vs Thiem predictions
|Over 22||Pinnacle||1.88||8||1-2 WON (+7.04 units)|
Federer vs Thiem betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).