Simon vs Dellien (By: Iniestaone)
First round match from ATP Madrid between Simon (#29) and Dellien (#109)
Last time I covered Simon was for him to lose to McDonald in his Barcelona opener which he did in two sets, he was having serious back issues then and its unclear weather he is fully fit for this match or not. He had real trouble moving and was dominated to 3-6 2-6 as a 1.40 favorite, he is now a slightly bigger favorite against Dellien who is a much better clay courter than McDonald but has a similar playing style so I can't see any reason not to go against Simon here with the handicap.
Dellien has caused two upsets in the qualifications, he defeated Leo Mayer in two and Andreozzi in three. I couldn't watch his matches but going by the stats I can see that he was serving very well (91% fs against Mayer and 75% fs won, 68% fs and 70% fs won against Andreozzi) which is important for a player like him who does not focus his game around a good serve but good movement and strong baseline duels.
If Simon is not both completely recovered and has a very good day on court, then this will be a tough match for him. Dellien is 20/10 on clay this season, which is literally his only surface, and is well adapted to the courts.
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Simon vs Dellien predictions
|Dellien +3.5||Pinnacle||1.78||8||1-2 WON (+6.24 units)|
Simon vs Dellien betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).