Tsitsipas vs Cuevas (By: Iniestaone)

Final match from ATP Estoril between Tsitsipas (#10) and Cuevas (#67)

Well Tsitsipas was a big let down for me today. He won, but he did not cover the -2.5 handicap I had set out as he won by 1 game margin. Now I think the value is on Cuevas to take a set in the finals.

I watched both semifinals, Tsitsipas looked really awful at times against Goffin and luckily for him, Goffin was not having a good day either. Tsitsipas just threw away so much in that match, had breakpoints in Goffin's first two serves but didn't convert and ended up losing his serve and the set 3-6. Second set was a rollercoaster with Goffin's serve malfunctioning the way it did against Jaziri at times, but Tsitsipas was struggling with the sole positioning of the serve as he kept getting the ball throw way to the left and he got broken several times as well. There were a total of seven breaks in that second set which Tsitsipas won 6-4. The third had a lot more points and service holds, Goffin couldn't handle the pressure at 4-4 and was broken and Tsitsipas won the set 6-4.

For Cuevas, he did an amazing job against a Davidovich Fokina who was on fire. Another absolutely stunning display from D. Fokina, but in the end Cuevas perseverance and fighting spirit was too much. Cuevas was helped by Davidovich Fokina catching an injury below his ribcage late in the match but I think he would've won it anyway.

If Tsitsipas manages to find his absolute top gear for the whole match, he can win this in two. But I highly doubt he can do that after seeing him in this year's Estoril. He had huge problems when Goffin targeted his forehand with his backhand and Cuevas also has a very strong backhand so he will go for the same route here and the most probable outcome is that Cuevas takes a least one set.

Unbeatable Odds

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Tsitsipas vs Cuevas predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Cuevas +1.5 sets Pinnacle 1.82 8 2-0 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Tsitsipas vs Cuevas betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+5 -3
 
Comments (2)
Antonio
2 - 0 Tsitsipas,,, nine match for Cuevas in 12 days
05/05/2019 - 07:02
iniestaone
Doesn't matter for the finals, Cuevas looked just fine yesterday and also I can't see value in backing this edition of Tsitsipas to win a final match in two sets
05/05/2019 - 10:43
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