Tsitsipas vs Goffin (By: Iniestaone)
Semifinal match from ATP Estoril between Tsitsipas (#10) and Goffin (#25)
I didn't watch Tsitsipas' match against Domingues so I don't know what to make of it more than the stats. Ηe wasn't having a very good day on serve as he was serving at 59% FS and he was broken once per set and he got it done against a Domingues who has been very solid in this year's Estoril.
He won against E. Ymer, Baldi and De Minaur and Millman retired to him after a set until Tsitsipas knocked him out so I don't think 7-6 6-4 is an awful result for Tsitsipas here.
Due to his ranking he won't have to play the first round in Madrid so he can actually go full out and compete here to win the title as he will have more than enough time to make the short trip to Spain and rest a few days.
I saw Goffin's win against Jaziri today and I was really not impressed by him, I of course had the Jaziri bet here on Betshoot and there was no consistency from either player, they took a set each and Jaziri started to really feel pain in his left lat to a point where he couldn't hit a single backhand properly and he lost the third set 2-6.
Goffin was however not playing well, he wasn't good on serve and he wasn't good during the rallies as he threw an insane amount of unforced errors, he doesn't believe in himself right now so he is not playing his regular patient baseline defence.
Instead, he is going for the shots on his forehand and it worked well against Sousa but there was a big chance of it misfiring completely against Jaziri as the second set went to a tiebreak and could've been won by either player. Goffin's trademark shot, the backhand down the line, was only to be seen a handful of times which speaks of his lack of confidence.
I think we will see a comfortable win for Tsitsipas here, Goffin is not looking good from the baseline and he didn't need to be at his best from there to compete with Jaziri during the rallies as Jaziri is not a good baseliner but with Tsitsipas it'll be a different story.
Unless we see a huge change in Goffin's game from today, then he shouldn't be able to leave an imprint on this match.
I was choosing between the set bet and games handicap bet for this one and I've decided for the games handicap as its quite possible that one of these sets goes to a tiebreak which Goffin wins but seeing him serve today makes me think he will get broken several times so, in case of a three-set match, Tsitsipas should be able to cover this.
Tsitsipas vs Goffin predictions
|Tsitsipas -2.5||Pinnacle||1.92||8||2-1 LOST (-8 units)|
Tsitsipas vs Goffin betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).