Goffin vs Malek Jaziri (By: Iniestaone)
Quarterfinal match from ATP Estoril between Goffin (#25) and Jaziri (#75).
So here we are with another Jaziri tip. I will make a few bets here, something with a handicap but I will also bet on Jaziri outright and I will write this preview ahead of the handicap lines release so you can choose what you want to do with this analysis until then.
I imagine the odds will stay high on Jaziri until the morning at least which means there will be a good chance to get big value on +4.5 games handicap or +1.5 sets, but during the day we should see the odds go down a lot as 4.76 just makes no sense here.
I think I can without exaggeration say that we are seeing the best Jaziri in years, he is playing amazing tennis, he fights for the points and most importantly he believes in himself and his ability a lot at the moment.
He is playing at a higher level than his ranking of 75. He took out Mayer 7-6 6-1 today and Mayer was not even having a bad day on the court.
Meanwhile, Goffin is not having a good season at all so far, he is 10/10 and none of his wins has been noteworthy really. He defeated Sousa in his Estoril opener which says nothing as Sousa is having a horrible season as well.
For me there is no way Jaziri should be a 4.76 underdog here, the only thing that would warrant that is if Goffin were in top form which he is far from and he has lost similar matches like this one several times this season even though we're only in May.
If you don't think Jaziri has the ability to win this then a handicap bet is fine too but I really think we will see Jaziri in the semis, I watched both his matches here and it's not the same lazy unstable Jaziri as we are all used to see.
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Goffin vs Malek Jaziri predictions
|Jaziri||Pinnacle||4.76||6||2-1 LOST (-6 units)|
Goffin vs Malek Jaziri betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).