Lajovic vs Fognini (By: Iniestaone)

Final match from ATP Monte Carlo between Lajovic (#48) and Fognini (#18)

I've been waiting for the expected verdict from the bookies and its officially here, Lajovic is the underdog in the Monte Carlo finals. Once again he finds himself expected to lose and once again I will back him to win.

I watched the two semifinals today. It was quite a bad day of tennis as the wind ruined too many rallies. Lajovic had an awful start against Medvedev, he went down 1-5 and Medvedev was serving for the set and thats when Lajovic switched to his supreme mode and won the following eleven games. Medvedev was utilizing the conditions much better and Lajovic was throwing many unforced errors, but his body language was constantly positive and it was evident that he believed in himself despite the scoreline. He stayed composed in the second set and won it 6-1.

What happened between Fognini and Nadal? Well, we saw Nadal playing at his worst and Fognini playing at his absolute best. The amount of unforced errors from Nadal was uncanny but he has been struggling several times during the week while Fognini is known to perform great tennis when he plays without pressure. Nobody expected anything from him versus Nadal, probably not he himself either, so he took a lot of chances and produced some quality tennis.

The finals will be different. The kind of match Fognini made today is something he does once in a blue moon, combined with the fact that Nadal was having a very bad day made his win possible. Now Fognini is the favorite to win and that pressure doesn't suit him.

My prediction for this match is that we will see an even start and a collapse from Fognini when he starts feeling the pressure, the crowd is behind him here but unlike in the match versus Nadal they are expecting him to win and that support is not always good for a hot headed player like Fognini. He was in trouble mentally in the start against Nadal as well because there was a towel incident where he called let during the point himself (as if he is allowed to do so....) and when the umpire gave the point to Nadal, I thought we were going to see Fognini fall apart as he threw some big unforced errors right after but Nadal was just very poor this day.

Meanwhile, the mental strength and composure Lajovic showed against Medvedev where he refused to give up really makes me believe in him for the finals, because remember: tennis at these later stages becomes more and more about mentality and confidence and Lajovic must be oozing from that right now.

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Lajovic vs Fognini predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Lajovic Pinnacle 2.69 9 0-2 LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Lajovic vs Fognini betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+31 -15
 
Comments (2)
Utrecht030
Fognini will win
04/21/2019 - 03:07
Mayanja
You deserve some kudos for believing in your picks even when many vote them down. Nice work
04/21/2019 - 14:27
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