Fognini vs Simon (By: Iniestaone)
Second round match from Monte Carlo between Fognini (#18) and Simon (#26)
Well there is no reason for Simon not to be a 1.40-ish favorite here. I think Fognini is being overpriced because of his turn against Rublev in the first round, Rublev won the first set 6-4 and had 4-1 in the second before falling apart and seeing Fognini win the match.
I don't think that kind of scenario is to be expected here, Simon is a much more solid player than Rublev and especially on clay where he gets the most out of his defensive style. He has 5-0 on Fognini for a reason and that is because his style is kryptonite to Fognini's loose style where he takes a lot of chances and plays with no actual stability. I think that Fognini can be worth betting on sometimes because of this but not against Simon on clay.
Simon defeated Popyrin 7-5 6-1 in the first round and it was exactly the kind of match he needed to get started in Monte Carlo this year. He is playing on his best surface, he is 4/1 on clay this season so far while Fognini is the opposite of 1/4 with his sole win being the clownish victory against Rublev.
I think we can expect the odds on Simon to go down quite a lot before this match starts
Fognini vs Simon predictions
|Simon||Pinnacle||1.92||10||Canceled PUSH (Stake return)|
Fognini vs Simon betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).