Troicki vs Dougaz (By: Iniestaone)

First round match from the Tunis challenger between Troicki (#241) and Dougaz (#570)

There is an obvious class difference here between Troicki and Dougaz, Troicki is the better player which there is no doubt about but I think its worth trying this bet with a low stake because of how awful he is playing right now. He started the season in decent fashion but he has taken plenty of losses recently that he shouldn't have, he lost to Rinderknech in Sophia Antipolis as a big favorite (almost as big as today) with 4-6 2-6 and his most recent match was a loss to Bagnis in Marrakech in two close sets. He is more unstable mentally now than ever and throws a lot of games away because of his frustration.

Dougaz is just now reaching challenger level tennis slowly, there isn't a lot for me to say about him yet, I think the fact that he is the home player will mean that he remains motivated for every point here and its not the kind of opponent Troicki should be facing in a first round challenger as Troicki expects to ease past this type of opponent and if Dougaz can return enough balls then Troicki will do the other half of the job himself by throwing unforced errors and tantrums as he has done a lot most recently.

This is mainly a bet against Troicki in his current form so it should be played with low stakes

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Troicki vs Dougaz predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Dougaz Pinnacle 5.11 3 Retirement LOST (-3 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Troicki vs Dougaz betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+2 -1
 
Comments (3)
David King
Oh come on, Iniestaone, too big odds ↔ too low stake. I dont understand how big impact you want from WC player which is on Futures level. I saw Victor many times to fix a game. Sure over 95%, second problem from Serbian that he always get angry, with lots of rage, frustration etc. The question I would like to know how he looks like at the moment, and definitly he need a points for Qualification of RG. No matter what I said I wish you luck ....
04/16/2019 - 14:42
iniestaone
Hey David thanks for the input, im watching the match right now at 5-5 in the first set and its going like I expected, Troicki is really frustrated and throwing many unforced errors while talking to himself angrily between points, I would say this is definitely a MUCH more even match than the odds suggest and the crowd is completely behind Dougaz which is also throwing Troicki off his rhytm. Troicki may end up winning but as I said, the odds dont reflect the match picture, not even slightly close
04/16/2019 - 16:57
iniestaone
Well Dougaz injured his left knee and couldnt continue, too bad
04/16/2019 - 18:18
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