Moundir vs Berlocq (By: Iniestaone)
Qualifying semifinal for ATP Marrakech between Moundir (#723) and Berlocq (#147)
So here's a match between Futures player Moundir and very experienced clay courter Berlocq. The main reason I am going for this one is that I am betting against Berlocq, I believe him to be finished as a tennis player. He is 36 years old and last year he finished the season with 38 wins and 22 losses as he had made the smooth transition from ATP to almost exclusively challengers, this year he is 2/7 and he has truly been awful, seven of those nine matches have been on South American clay which is by far his best surface where he plays his best tennis
Moundir has been given a spot in the qualifications because he is a Morrocan-Swiss tennis player and its really not uncommon to see this type of upset when a player that usually doesn't belong on a certain circuit gets a chance because he has some kind of connection to the country he is playing in. I think its very possible that he causes an upset here, he is a tall guy and hard hitter and if he goes for the shots against Berlocq and has some margins on his side then a win is absolutely possible for him. He is 7/6 this year on the Futures tour with only one notable upset against Altmaier as a 5.65 underdog but his most recent match was in Davis Cup against Berankis in great form where he lost 2-6 6-7, what I think really shows that Moundir is playing career high tennis at the moment are the final games in the second set where Berankis had two match points at his serve on 5-3 but he was broken, then he had three match points on Moundir's serve at 4-5 and Moundir defended them. In the tiebreak, Moundir defended another three match points before finally losing.
The writing is on the wall for this one for Berlocq, I don't think Moundir should be this big of an underdog and its obvious that the bookies are unsure on how to treat this match as Moundir is an underdog at around 7-8 times the money on many mainstream bookies while others have him at literally double the odds
Moundir vs Berlocq predictions
|Moundir||Pinnacle||13.28||3||0-2 LOST (-3 units)|
Moundir vs Berlocq betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).