Djere vs Kecmanovic (By: FairPlayBet)
Two Serbian players in the 3rd round of Indian Wells. Laslo Djere against Miomir Kecmanovic.
Of course, Djere is better of these two. This is his career best ever (last season and start of 2019). Recently he has won his first ever ATP tournament. As a result, he reached 32. ATP position. So basically Djere is some 100 places better ranked than Kecmanovic. But note he is also more experienced, 4 years older than today's opponent. Namely Kecmanovic is only 19 and half y.o. Obviously Kecmanovic can and will do much better very soon.
IMO the value was on Kecmanovic (by initial odds). Namely we had somewhere around 2.40 in bet365 on him. But that's gone long ago, we can't find now couple games handicap. Who likes Kecmanovic, now needs to go with money line since this is now pretty much 50-50 offered odds. I am not confident betting on Kecmanovic on such odds although there are valid reasons for this line moves. Namely, Djere his greatest success has achieved on clay while hard is not his favourite surface. But although hard court favors Kecmanovic, far from Djere can't play good tennis also on this surface.
IMO totals are where we should be looking for nice winner. And I mean on over the totals. Djere was 8 times in 2019 on hard courts (counting also indoor) and only two times totals remained below this line. There is clear trend of 7-6 or 7-5 results in opening sets of his matches. Such first set would be helpful also today. Even if turn out the opposite, I see this match going over through all 3 sets played.
Namely I don't see either of these two players winning easily. It's true Kecmanovic reached main draw as lucky loser but when he got a chance, he defeated Marterer. Also, the guy who defeated Kecmanovic in Qualifications also reached here third round. It's Giron who defeated Alex De Minaur.
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Djere vs Kecmanovic predictions
|Over 22.5||Pinnacle||1.98||8||21 LOST (-8 units)|
Djere vs Kecmanovic betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (FairPlayBet).