Ito vs Donaldson (By: Iniestaone)

First round match from ATP Indian Wells between Ito (#148) and Donaldson (#192)

I see a lot of value on backing Ito here. He has played the qualifiers where he did great in defeating Ruud in three and Aragone in two, he was the underdog in both matches and the one versus Ruud was one where I think he really showed some form as he lost the first set after a tiebreak and won the remaining two 6-1 6-4.

I watched Donaldson in his loss to Giraldo in the Indian Wells challenger nine days ago as I had money on Giraldo to win that match and Donaldson was dreadful, the set he took was due to Giraldo being Giraldo on hardcourts as he often throws away advantages. It was Donaldson's second match of the season, prior to that he lost to Garcia Lopez in three sets which was his first match since August 6th 2018.

Donaldson has been struggling with a knee injury for a long time now and I don't think he is yet fully recovered, I saw glimpses where his movement was off against Giraldo and he was extremely frustrated throughout the match. He is now facing a very motivated and in form Ito who has a patient playing style and doesn't give many free points away. When both of these are fully fit and in similar form, Donaldson is by far the better player but he is months from reaching that level of tennis and right now I believe he will take a loss to Ito as he struggles on to regain his glory days.

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Ito vs Donaldson predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Ito Pinnacle 2.10 8 0-2 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Ito vs Donaldson betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+4 -2
 
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