Popyrin vs Kovalik (By: Iniestaone)

First round qualifier for ATP Indian wells between Popyrin (#131) and Kovalik (#116)

So the handicap lines were literally just released for this match and we stand at 3,5 games on average. I think this is a great line to bet on Popyrin covering. He is 6/8 so far this season with one of those wins being the one in the Acapulco quals where Ortega Olmedo retired after losing the first set. I think he has been great this year overall, he's coming off a 3-6 3-6 loss to A. Zverev in the first round of Acapulco, he's been solid this year in general.

The main reason I am betting against Kovalik here though is that he hasn't played a match since the US Open qualifiers in July 2018. He is a clay court player who has been given a hard opponent to start the reason with after such a long absence because Popyrin serves very well on fast courts against players with short reach like Kovalik and I can't see a way for Kovalik to get breaks here, meanwhile his own serving will be put to test as he is not a noteworthy server even in form and now he's coming to face off against a Popyrin who is merely 8 ranking points and a few wins away from his career high ranking of 123. I see no way for Kovalik to get anything from this match and a result like 6-4 6-4 for Popyrin should be very plausible

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Popyrin vs Kovalik predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Popyrin -3,5 Pinnacle 1.87 8 2-0 WON (+6.96 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Popyrin vs Kovalik betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+6 -2
 
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