Nikola Milojevic vs Otte (By: Iniestaone)

Second round from Budapest Challenger between Milojevic (#174) and Otte (#165)

I am shifting my focus from the ATP tour in Thursday's pick to back Milojevic to defeat Otte in Budapest. I've been looking at some ATP matches for tomorrow but nothing really stands out to me as much as this match does.

Milojevic is coming off a 2-1 win vs Scott Griekspoor as a 1.50-something favorite. He won 6-4 6-7 6-4. That win might look underwelming, but I think Griekspoor has had a better start to the season than perhaps ever if you consider that he was 6/3 before losing to Milojevic and that all those matches were on the Challenger circuit and not Futures. That was also Milojevic's first win this season after he lost to M. Ymer, Krstin and Masur.

Otte defeated Petrovic 7-6 3-6 7-6 in his first round as a 1.30-ish favorite. Petrovic is much more of a claycourter than indoor player and yet he managed to stay close to Otte, mainly because Otte's most favored weapon - his serve - let him down as it has several times this year. I saw it fail him in Rennes against Moutet and it failed him the same way vs Petrovic as he had 12 double faults while being 58% on his first serve. Had he played against a proper hardcourter he would've lost the first round in Budapest.

I think we're going to see a match with few breaks here. Otte is a good server and likewise a poor returner, Milojevic will have an easy time to hold his serve and he'll have to wait for Otte's serve to collapse at some point during the sets and then take advantage of the breakpoint.

Lastly, motivation is always a factor to count in when it comes to challenger matches and I think Milojevic has a lot more motivation to perform well in Budapest as he played the semifinal here last year after taking wins versus Safranek, Borsos, E. Ymer and then finally losing to Pospisil in a close three set semifinal as a 4.33 underdog.

I trust Otte's inconsistency to lose him this match against a very motivated contender who has the means to defeat him

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Nikola Milojevic vs Otte predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Milojevic Pinnacle 2.03 8 0-2 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Nikola Milojevic vs Otte betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Iniestaone).
+6 -2
 
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