Pouille vs Coric (By: Stanioooo)
4th round match in Melbourne between Lucas Pouille and Borna Coric.
Both of these players are still part of the young generation as Pouille is 24, while Coric is 22 years old. OK, they have about 4-5 years playing on ATP level with the best in the world, so they gained the experience and it's better to say they are somewhere in the middle between the youngest generation of players who are less than 20 years old and the generation which was led by Raonic, Nishikori and Dimitrov(the promising talents who are closer to 30 years old and still waiting for GS trophy).
Coric has never reached GS quarterfinal in his career as a professional tennis player, his best achivements are a few 4th round matches where he is right now. That's something like a golden chance for him to reach the best eight in Melbourne and to make his own record at the biggest stage. He has the game to do it and his results are more than promising. His last season was very promosing and what a better end than to help the Croatian team to win the Davis cup trophy(he beat Chardy in singles).
Borna defeated in straight sets Darcis and Fucsovics, while against Krajinovic he dropped the 1st set, but took the next three to finish the match in four sets. He is very solid from the baseline during the exchanges of shots, also plays excellent on return, but still he showed some problems on serve. It's not so regular and that led to a few parts of his matches where his opponents received break chances, especially the start of the match against Krajinovic. Well, his performance on return compensates the little problems he has on serve and I am not sure what will be the level of his serve against Pouille. He can show much higher level and to make the things on the court even harder for Lucas. What I know for sure is that his style is the one, which is most uncomfortable for Pouille and the Frenchman will not feel good during the time spent on the court against Coric.
Pouille started with 4 losses during 2019 in Hopman cup and Sydney. Here he beat Kukushkin, Marterer and Popyrin, but I expect him to be a little bit exhausted for this match as he used a lot of energy in the 5-sets victory against the young lad from Australia Popyrin. I watched the whole game and one thing was more than obvious- if you put Lucas under pressure and play aggressively against him with stable 1st serve, he is over and maybe in straight sets. Popyrin 1st serve just disappeared in long parts of the match and still he found the ways to escape in difficult situations. So what to expect from a player who is much better from the baseline and also can rely on his fast 1st serve. I know that the Frenchman can be very solid from the baseline, but now he is in a period where he misses confidence. That's his first bigger test during Australian Open against a seeded player and I really don't expect much by him.
They have two matches in Indian Wells 2016 and Vienna 2018 and Coric won both of them losing only the 1st set in Vienna with 4:6. During these battles he has a few sets won by 6:0/6:2, so that's very important part for my pick.
I will go with Coric to win this match, maybe in four sets, it depends what's the quality of Coric's serve and the condition of Pouille, but the one I am looking for is the games handicap for Borna. I expect him to take one of the sets with a comfortable advantage like 6:2/6:1 and this to help a lot covering the handicap of -4.5 games I chose for the match.
Pouille vs Coric prediction
|Coric -4.5 games AH||Pinnacle||1.87||10||3-1 LOST (-10 units)|