Wawrinka vs Gulbis (By: Iniestaone)
First round match from Australian Open between Wawrinka (#59) and Gulbis (#86)
Wawrinka is not yet fully recovered and nowhere near his best, yet these odds are what you would expect to see in 2014. Pinnacle has him at 1.28 which is beyond my mind. He is 2/1 this season so far after wins in Doha vs Khachanov and Jarry and a loss to Bautista Agut. I saw his match against B-A and he looked very slow at times. The final numbers were 6-4 6-4 but thats because B-A missed out on 12/14 breakpoints. He should've won that by a bigger margin.
Gulbis took wins in Pune vs P.Sousa and Chung before losing to Karlovic in two tiebreaks. Not much to say about that, on the right court and on the right day Karlovic can do that to a lot of players. I liked what I saw from Gulbis in Pune and I think he will challenge Stan for real here. The surface fits him more, Wawrinka of course won the A-O in 2014 but he usually plays his best tennis on slower hardcourts.
I think 4.06 for Gulbis to win against the Wawrinka we are seeing now is ridiculous, it should be much closer to 2.50-2.75.
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Wawrinka vs Gulbis prediction
|Gulbis||Pinnacle||4.06||6||Retirement LOST (-6 units)|