Sandgren vs Nishioka (By: Stanioooo)

1st round match in Melbourne between Tennys Sandgren and Yoshihito Nishioka.

There are no direct matches between them, but maybe I will shock the audience once again to pick Sandgren to win this match. What a surprise, isn't it? But why in the hell I continue to trust in this guy?

I know both players' game very well and their current form. I watched the way Nishioka played against Grigor Dimitrov in Brisbane and he can be actually dangerous in long rallies, but if you play aggressively against him, he is dead. He is far away from Nishikori's class! Grigor beat him 6:3 6:4 and it could be even with bigger difference, but Dimitrov showed little problems on serve, typical for him. Sandgren can rely much more on his serve in comparison with Grigor. Then in Sydney Nishioka made it to the QFs defeating two players in the qualifications+ Harrison and Rublev before losing to Schwartzman in three sets. He destroyed Harrison, that has to be said and then did the same with Rublev, but the Russian doesn't look close to his best form in the start of the season. Well, Diego just showed how you can beat the Japanese- outplay him from the baseline and the job is almost done. Combined with big 1st serve Tennys has the weapons to eliminate him.

On the other side is Sandgren and all of you know that he won the trophy in Auckland, so maybe is expected to be a little tired because there were a lot of matches, but all of them finished in straight sets for him and is also the start of the season, so I don't think fatigue will take part in this match. He served amazingly good in Auckland, also used most of his chances on return and looked solid from the baseline. I expect him to cause Nishioka a lot fo problems when the Japanese is on serve.

Last year Nishioka eliminated Kohlschreiber in a 5-sets match, but then Seppi just outplayed him in straight sets int he 2nd round. About Sandgren- he was one of the main surprises in Melbourne reaching the quarterfinals where Chung was the better one and deserved his place in the SFs. That means the American has a lot of points to defend, which will be also motivating for him.

I expect Sandgren to win this match in four sets.

Unbeatable Odds

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Sandgren vs Nishioka predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Sandgren Bet365 2.10 9 1-3 LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Sandgren vs Nishioka betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Stanioooo).
+22 -1
Comments (6)
innn
Sandgren is not to be trusted. I think Nishioka takes this
01/13/2019 - 17:36
Nate
Have you seen him play recently? I think he has rlly good chances to progress, odds are dropping everywhere for him to take this one
01/13/2019 - 17:56
Stan
@Sandgren is not to be trusted. Really?
After beating everyone in New Zealand in straight sets and in three of these five matches he was the slight outsider. After reaching the QFs in Melbourne last season.

I know what Nishioka can do and what can't do that good. Watched three of his matches during 2019 against Dimitrov, Harrison and Schwartzman and that's why I think Tennys has the weapons to beat him. The Japanese is vulnerable on serve, of course, he can also break Sandgren, but the edge is with Tennys, because in big parts of his matches during 2019 he showed he can be rock-solid on serve and from the baseline. He has the aggression and the experience to beat Nishioka, but it is not expected to be an easy match, that's true.

I saw the value and made my pick. If you have the experience you will not bother about the moving odds! Strongly believe in Sandgren in this round.
01/13/2019 - 18:40
David King
Wow, what a match. At 4th set 0 - 1 I think six times advantage for Nishioka and Sandgren. I think this is it for Sandgren. Max odds at 0 - 2 in sets was 7,00
01/14/2019 - 12:36
Stan
That was my mistake!! I will take a note of this one.
I knew there is a possibility Sandgren not to be fresh enough in this match because of last week's final in Auckland. Still risked it, because he had to play only 2 sets matches.
It was such a close match and Sandgren was close to put it in the final set, but didn't have the strenght to do it.
I will wait the tournament to progress a little bit to the third round for example before giving picks as I did in the previous two weeks, because as you can see first or second round matches are the hardest ones for making successful tips on them.
01/14/2019 - 16:09
David King
Stan, Sandgren last year at Grand Slam was at R4 and for that he gets 180 but from last week he gets 250 - 180 = +70 pts. You need to pay attention of points from last to these year and even more to all that have in calculation. Secondly, yes sure he is tired but Sandgren didnt lost anything. Many players come on tournament just like that, to be there and thats all. You're still great.


01/14/2019 - 19:39
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