Norrie vs Struff
Semifinal match in Auckland between Norrie (#93) and Struff (#58)
Well Struff performed a lot better against Statham than I expected. I thought Statham would have a chance after his magnificent match vs Chung but Struff shut him down 6-2 6-1. He followed up that win with a 2-1 victory over Carreno-Busta that had three tiebreaks. There were only breaks in the third set, and Struff had 9 breakpoints in the first but couldn't capitalise off them. He gave Carreno Busta one but saved it. Struff had his best serving in that first set.
Norrie caused an upset in his last round vs Fritz as he won 7-6 6-3. He has now gone through Auckland without losing a set which bodes well for this bet. Both he and Struff have been solid in serving in their first sets here and I think that'll continue in tonight's match with Norrie perhaps edging it out, Struff's match vs Carreno-Busta lasted just over three hours and I'm not sure how fit he is for another potential marathon but I think he will have plenty of energy to perform well in the first set. Meanwhile, Norrie is usually very solid on serve when he plays on fast courts such as the one in Auckland and should be able to hold his serve the vast majority of the time here.
Norrie vs Struff prediction
|1st set over 10.5||Bet365||2.62||8||7-5 WON (+12.96 units)|