Zhang vs Fratangelo
Final qualifying match for Australian Open between Zhang (#217) and Fratangelo (#135)
Zhang started this qualifying campaign by defeating Brands in two sets as a slight underdog and then he caused quite the upset as he defeated Berankis in three sets as a 4.00 underdog. Looking at that match a bit closer; Berankis won the first set after breaking Zhang twice early. In the following sets Zhang not only held serve for two sets but he only gave Berankis one breakpoint in nine serve games. He is so good right now that I think he will cause another upset tonight.
Fratangelo has faced worse opponents and has struggled more, he is coming off a 2-1 win vs Napolitano that took just over two hours and a tiebreak to conclude and this as Fratangelo was a 1.36 favorite. Prior to that he had defeated Griekspoor 6-4 7-5 as a 1.50 favorite. Its safe to say he's not convincing anybody at the moment and I don't see what could justify Zhang being this big of an underdog. He's faced better hardcourt opponents, defeated them in a more convincing manner and he is a more clear cut hardcourter than Fratangelo.
World's leading bookmaker
Zhang vs Fratangelo prediction
|Zhang||Pinnacle||2.70||8||1-2 LOST (-8 units)|