Hemery vs Sakharov
Semifinal qualifier to Australian Open between Hemery (#215) and Sakharov (#250)
Two similar players face off in this qualifying match but their form is everything but similar. Hemery is coming off a 7-6 7-6 win vs 18 year old Crnokrak who is ranked 2021 at the moment and made his first match of the season vs Hemery. I didn't watch that match but from what I can see, Crnokrak actually had plenty of chances to break Hemery but didn't take them. Prior to that, Hemery vs Pavlasek in three sets and then lost to Laaksonen in three in Playford.
Its a different story for Sakharov right now, he managed to take three wins in Noumea (Takahashi, De Schepper, Caruso) before losing to Young and he did a great job vs Halys in his first round qualifier for Aus Open, winning 6-2 6-4.
Sakharov has played Hemery once, 13 months ago, and he won 6-2 6-1. The odds were 1.72 on average for Hemery there and now the roles are reversed, Actually, the odds are dropping everywhere on Sakharov except on Bet365. He is now a 1.60-ish favorite on a lot of bookies and I think they'll keep dropping as everything says Sakharov will defeat him again and advance to the next round. Hemery has a slightly better serve but Sakharov is playing so well right now that I don't see Hemery winning this on serve points.
Hemery vs Sakharov prediction
|Sakharov||Bet365||1.72||9||1-2 WON (+6.48 units)|