Chardy vs Seppi

First round match from Sydney between Chardy (#36) and Seppi (#37)

Had this not been a match that is played 2 days after Chardy faced off against Nishikori in a semi final, I would back Chardy to win it. But now Chardy has had to melt a semi final loss, fly to Sydney from Brisbane and get everything else needed in order and all this in a couple of days. Meanwhile, Seppi was knocked out in Doha by Rublev on new years eve and has had all the time in the world to prepare for his opening round in Sydney.

Chardy was a 1.40-1.50 favorite when the market opened but the odds have gone up to 1.60-ish and dropped on Seppi. Probably because of the factors mentioned above, but its also worth noting that his semi final spot in Brisbane shouldn't be overestimated. He got there by defeating Struff, Kyrgios and Uchiyama in three sets and the only major victory there is the one vs Kyrgios which looks a lot better on paper. I watched that match and even though Chardy deserves credit for his amazing first serves there, it was still an awful display by Kyrgios who threw the match the way he sometimes does.

I think Seppi will be able to handle Chardy's serve here and being so much more prepared for this encounter, I will back him to advance to the next round.

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Chardy vs Seppi prediction

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Seppi Bet365 2.50 8 1-2 WON (+12 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+4 0
Comments (1)
Vadim
I like your pick. All the circumstances indicate that. For safety reasons, Seppi to take a set for ~ 1.5 is a good pick as well.
01/08/2019 - 00:07
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