De Minaur vs Lajovic
First round match in Sydney between De Minaur and Lajovic.
De Minaur is naturally a big favorite here at 1.30 and I think he will win this in two sets. I watched his match vs Tsonga where he as many times before let his emotions get to him and after losing the first set 4-6 he lost the second after a tiebreak in which he was quite miserable. He was a favorite there too, at around 1.60, but thats probably mainly because Tsonga's fitness was/is questioned. A 'normal' Tsonga would be favored over De Minaur.
Lajovic lost to Cecchinato in Doha after defeating Berankis and Mannarino, Cecchinato won the first set 7-6 and Lajovic collapsed mentally in the second. Its a tendency i've noticed several times before, he is usually a strong starter but has a harder time in the match if he doesn't put up a good fight in the first set. He has improved a lot on hardcourts despite being a clay courter, and his stats on the surface in 2018 and 2017 confirm this as he was 15/9 last year and 16/11 in 2017.
At this point I would say Lajovic is a better server, neither of them is a serve focused player though so we can see potential breaks in the first set from both of them. I think it'll cross the 10.5 line though from what i've seen from them so far this year. Lajovic should however not have a chance to hold this steady in the second set and he will most likely lose in two. I see a complete replay from all of his matches in Doha where he played his by far best tennis in the first sets and then saw his performance deteriorate in the second sets.
De Minaur vs Lajovic prediction
|1st set over 10.5||Bet365||3.40||8||6-4 LOST (-8 units)|