Ebden vs Nicolas Jarry
First round match between Ebden and Jarry in Sydney
Ebden is wrongfully the underdog here. Odds have gone up a lot on Jarry and down on Ebden during the day but he is still the underdog on most bookies and he should not be.
I watched two of Ebden's matches in Hopman cup: his 2-1 win vs Pouille and 0-2 loss to Zverev. He really impressed me against Pouille where he was having an amazing day on serve and his loss to Zverev was albeit expected quite disappointing as he made many errors, but I guess thats the effect of facing Zverev at the moment.
Jarry lost his most recent match to Wawrinka in Doha after defeating Haase, he had two long matches here as he is a player that relies a lot on his serve. He is however mainly a clay courter who is 29/31 in total on hardcourts. He has improved these last two years on the surface but he is facing an Ebden who plays his best tennis on this surface and whats more important, he plays his best tennis on home soil. He was 18/15 on hardcourts last season with memorable wins against the likes of Isner and Thiem and a challenger win in Busan. I think this match will cross the 22.5 line but I am going for Ebden instead because of the home factor and because Jarry is not yet that reliable as a server.
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Ebden vs Nicolas Jarry prediction
|Ebden||Bet365||2.00||9||Canceled PUSH (Stake return)|