Federer vs Anderson

That's a match from the ATP finals in London between Kevin Anderson and Roger Federer.

Everything is this group is almost clear as Dominic Thiem beat Kei Nishikori in straight sets a few minutes ago. So, you can see how you can start with a win in straight sets against Roger, but then to lose two matches in staright sets and to finish last in the group, while Dominic started with two losses in straight sets, but he is still in the game for the 2nd place. Sometimes the fortune is very, very strange..

So, what are the options for this last match between Anderson and Federer. If Federer wins the match, no matter in straight or in three sets, we will top the group because the tie with be only between them(they will have 2 wins and 1 loss), while Thiem and Nishikori will have 1win and 2 losses. In this situation we look H2H matches between them, so Federer will be infront Anderson in case of a win. The other option is Anderson to win this match. If he does it in three sets, it's clear he will top the group with 3 wins, while Federer, Thiem and Nishikori will finish with 1 win and 2 losses. In that case we look at the sets difference. If Federer takes only ONE set, we will have better set difference than Thiem and Nishikori and will take the 2nd place. But the last option is the hardest one- if Anderson wins in straight sets, then Thiem and Federer will game equal balance when we talk about wins and difference in sets, so we will have to look their game difference(Nishikori will be also with 1 win and 2 losses, but his sets and game difference is worse than both Thiem and Federer, that's why I will not write about him, he will finish last in the group for sure). So, about the game difference- Thiem is already with 26:30 game difference after his all matches already played, while Federer is with 21-18. To sum up, the only chance Thiem to progress instead of Federer is Anderson to win in straight sets and with game difference of 8 games! Seven will not be enough, because then there will also be a equality between them and we look at their ATP ranking, where Federer has an advantage. SO, Dominic will wait for a miracle and Anderson to beat with a result like 6:3 6:1 or 6:2 6:2...

Federer needs only a set to be sure about his place in the semifinals or 5 games at all against Kevin, if he losses in straight sets to progress. It's easy to happen for sure. Kevin is in tremendiously good form and I am sure he will give his best tonight to beat Federer and to take the top spot. Noone will want to finish 2nd in this group, because the loser in this match will face Djokovic in the SFs and it will be a very, very tough challenge for sure. So, you have to be sure they will give their max to win this match and avoid Djokovic facing a player like Zverev or Cilic!

I expect a long match, maybe more nervous than expected by both of them and three sets for sure. I can't see Federer to win in straight sets here or Anderson to do it, when he never did it before against Roger H2H.

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Federer vs Anderson prediction

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 2.5 Sets Bet365 2.50 9 2-0 LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+4 -1
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