Federer vs Anderson
Okay, a lot of IF's, but in a lot of scenario's the best thing for Federer is if he will win in two sets. Only if Thiem will win ( possible but i do not see that happening to be honest ), Federer will have enough with a win. Even then, you do not wanna get a set down against a red hot SA serving machine.
If Nishikori will win, Federer can not lose a set.
Even Anderson has still a chance to be eliminated, despite having a perfect 4-0 in sets.
However, if both Federer and Nishikori win in straight sets, the percentage of won games will count.
Federer losing the first set makes things very hard ( only not if Thiem will win ) and hence i think the first set suits almost every situation.
Federer leads the H2H with 4-1 and his only defeat came this summer at Wimbledon, despite have a two sets (!) lead. They played once indoors and Federer won in straight sets in Paris.
Federer to take the firs set.
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Federer vs Anderson prediction
|Federer first set ML||Pinnacle||1.52||9||6-4 WON (+4.68 units)|