S. Williams vs Naomi Osaka
For the title on the 2018 WTA US Open will meet Serena Williams and Naomi Osaka.
I think this match is difficult to predict in term of totals and/or games and set handicap. But I also think Serena should win without doubt.
How I see, one of best players ever, Serena, will do her part of the job. She will play this match on the very high level. But, whether she will win 2:0 or only 2:1, whether she will cover games handicap, whether the match will go over or will remain under the totals, all that will depend a lot on how Osaka will play.
If she came out scared, then hardly she stand any chance. But if she would be able to repeat performance from previous rounds, then this could be more tied match but IMO still victorious for Serena at the end.
I won't touch anything about handicap/totals market. I will go with simple money line bet on Serena Williams. Yes the odds are low and not recommended for single bet but IMO this is great material for some short combo of two or max three selections.
As I mentioned in previews for earlier rounds, Serena was great. Her serve is on the highest level as always and that's huge advantage. She did experience few times slower start, was break down in mid first set vs Pliskova, was 0:2 in the first set vs Sevastova, but as usual, Serena quickly finds the right rhythm and then she is unstoppable.
Osaka on the other side had amazing tournament too. Victories over Sabalenka and Keys were amazing results. Also in other matches she was perfect but these two stand out since these victories were against more difficult opponents. Osaka mainly was my bet, except over against Sabalenka. Still, I didn't expect she would win against Keys. But she did and BTW saved even 13 break points in the process. Of course there was also luck in few occasions but still all credits for Osaka for this result.
Before this year US Open she was only once in the 4th round of Australian Open. That was her best Grand Slam result. But she is young and no doubt her time is coming. As I mentioned earlier, taking Sascha Bajin for the coach was great move by Osaka. We know how Bajin was successful in the past with other top players including Serena Williams. So, if someone knows very well how to play against Serena, than it is Bajin, her former coach. So, I think Osaka will have good advices but I'm afraid this finals could be too much for her. I don't think it's time to she win Grand Slam trophy.
BTW, Serena plays for its 24th Grand Slam trophy. And she was rarely losing such finals. In entire career she has played 30 GS finals and has won 23 so far.
S. Williams vs Naomi Osaka prediction
|Williams||Pinnacle||1.40||10||0-2 LOST (-10 units)|