Keys vs Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys in the second SF of the 2018 US Open.
If for the first SF between Serena Williams and Sevastova we can say the winner is practically well known, here probably we"ll see more tied match but I think Keys will came out victorious at the end.
Since I am on Serena, I don't like exactly the fact that I am on the favorite also in the second semifinals but what you can do, I really think favorites will be successful in these late stages on both, women and men part of the draw.
Osaka is very good, that should be clear. After all I was on over in her match vs Sabalenka, so I didn't go against her although Sabalenka is in amazing form. Also in previous round I had winner on Osaka match. It was easy to predict that she would destroy not enough fit Tsurenko. But today I think she will face too big obstacle in the face of Madison Keys.
Keys costed me money in the previous round. I was wrong back then about her match vs Suarez Navarro. Namely I expected more tied match and over the totals. It was going in that direction but on 5:4 in the opening set Navarro missed few game points and then allowed first break in the match. So instead of 5:5 the set was finish with 6:4 and that was crucial for losing that bet.
In any case, I think over could be the winner now but still I like more Keys money line. The odds are fair so I think this is better option.
Keys is someone who knows to choke when things don't start in her favor but I noticed something new in her tennis when played Navarro. Namely she faced many times 15:30 in her service game, also some break points late in the match but this time she was so calm, serving very well, fired always few ace service or service winners in those situations.
I think this calmness could be crucial in the deciding moments. After all, Keys has way more experience although she isn't too much older (23 vs 21 y.o.). Keys was here in the finals season ago, she was in SF in two other GS tournaments (AO and French Open) and in QF of Wimbledon.
Osaka on the other side before this year US Open only once was in the 4th round of Australian Open.
Yes, that's because her times is yet to come and I am sure she is going to be even better. Taking Sascha Bajin for the coach was great move by Osaka. We know how Bajin was successful in the past with other top players including Serena Williams. But, at this point, I don't think Osaka is there yet, she is not yet level for Grand Slam final.
Maybe in three sets, maybe in two very close sets, but in any case, Madison Keys should deliver at the end.
Keys vs Naomi Osaka prediction
|Keys||Pinnacle||1.71||9||0-2 LOST (-9 units)|