Nadal vs Thiem
After I lost on over in meetings between Del Potro vs Coric as well Cilic vs Goffin, I told to myself how no way I would bet again over on this US Open when we have such similar odds range (around 1.30 to 1.40 on favorite).
Still, here I am again on Nadal vs Thiem meeting and I am looking again on the over as probably the best bet for this match.
Simply I am trying to justify those losses in reasons that both, Coric and Goffin have had injury problems, especially Coric so that those were not bad picks but in fact bad luck. So, I must give another try with over here, especially with Rafa not being too dominant and with Thiem playing quite good tennis.
Note Thiem is someone who defeated Nadal even three times and that is excellent no matter it was out of ten times they played each other. Interesting, all those ten were on clay, so with Rafa being best ever on clay, those Thiem's three victories worth even more. If he was able to cope with Nadal on clay, then why not also on Rafa's weaker surface. Still, it should be noted, Thiem also is better on clay than on hard court. But Thiem's tennis here was promising. Especially I refer on his previous round 3-0 win over last season finalist, Kevin Anderson.
Nadal lost set twice. If previous round was some kind of relaxed approach in the third set, something similar to Djokovic in two occasions, then we can't call it like that match vs Khachanov where Rafa was serious entire match but simply quality player like Khachanov was able to be dominant in big part of the match. I feel Thiem will be in similar position in set or two.
Nadal vs Thiem prediction
|Over 37.5||Pinnacle||1.87||7||3-2 WON (+6.09 units)|