Bertens vs Vondrousova
3rd round match in US Open between Kiki Bertens and Marketa Vondrousova.
That's the first match between them and Kiki Bertens is looking to be the favourite today. Bertens is experienced, 26 years old and in very solid form after winning the trophy in Cincinnati. On her way to the title she eliminated players like Kvitova, Halep, Svitolina, Wozniacki, Kontaveit..that's a really big number of top players. She lost a few sets in this row of matches, but her opponent today is not a player from this class. Marketa is only 19 years old Czech player, but her recent results before US Open are way out of impressive with some disappointing losses on hard courts against Ellen Perez and Ashleigh Barty, both in straight sets.
It's not strange to say this will be Vondrousova first appearance in the 3rd round in US Open and wants to progress, but Bertens is also looking to take part in the 4th round for the first time in her career. In my eyes Bertens is looking to be the main favourite from the bottom part of the draw to reach the final in this GL tournament, mostly because Stephens and Serena Williams are possible opponents only in the final. She is in amazing form, started with two wins in straight sets after very solid performance. Her opponent beat Buzarnescu and Bouchard, but we know that Buzarnescu got an injury a few weeks ago and wasn't ready for US Open, while Bouchard is far away from the player, who was 3-4 years ago.
I was thinking about two different options in this match- Bertens to win in straight sets or -4.5 games AH for Kiki. I am confident Kiki will win this match, but if it goes to three sets, it's very hard for the tip -4.5 games AH to be successful. So, I don't see much value in it. There is also an option if Bertens wins in straight sets, to do it with 3 or 4 games difference, if they have to play a tiebreak. So, I am not underestimating Marketa, but she is still very young and against Bertens in such a form, I don't think she will put a lot of pressure to the Dutch player. The weather will be much better, because the temperatures will be about 23-24 degrees in comparison with the ones over 30 in the previous days. So, I expect more balanced match today and Bertens' experience to lead her in the next round after maybe two close sets.
Bertens vs Vondrousova prediction
|Bertens -1.5 SETS AH||Pinnacle||1.79||9||1-2 LOST (-9 units)|