Djokovic vs Federer (By: FairPlayBet)
My bet is on Novak Djokovic. From what I saw on the tournament so far from both players, Federer is not favorite to win this finals. It should be Djokovic.
Maybe I would skip this bet and would just enjoy watching great tennis if the odds were set correctly. But with 2.20 on a player that IMO has better chance to win today, I definitely won't skip it.
I won't bother you with stats (I'll leave it to Smoothie), how many times they played each other, how many times on hard, who was better...cause they didn't meet for a while and thus that history lose the importance. The same as Federer's great success in Cincinnati in the past is not crucial.
I'll stick to what they have showed here in this week.
I'm reading these previews here, but not just here but all over the net. And I see how significant percentage of bettors thinks how Federer will win, how he is in advantage, how he was better this week.
Well, I just can't agree with that.
Firstly, about Federer great serving. Yes, it's a fact he wasn't allowing breaks while Djokovic not just he did but he was losing sets. Still, with whom Novak met and with whom Roger? You can't ignore the fact Djokovic had way more difficult opponents. To be honest, if these two were in the half of the draw the other one was, I am not sure we would be waiting now this finals. Cause IMO Federer in half of the draw where Djokovic was, would be out long ago.
So, don't give me those reasons how Novak was losing sets. I only see as failure the fact he has played all three sets against Mannarino. Novak didn't need that.
Second, Federer is not so much better server as much Novak is better on return. Do not forget that. What Federer did on return? For example, he was serving well yesterday against Goffin but how dangerous he was on return? He couldn't break Goffin and note it was injured Goffin. Namely the Belgian player had serving arm injured.
We can talk also about match vs Wawrinka. Yes, Federer lost one set too. What more Wawrinka made him serious problems and we know this is not even close Wawrinka from his best days.
I know one thing. If Federer takes early control, Djokovic definitely is capable to came back into match. But if Djokovic starts better, I just don't see way back for Federer.
In any case, if match enter the distance, advantage is on Novak's side. Don't give me that nonsense about Djokovic being tired after playing three seters in previous rounds. These are top prepared athletes, three sets per day is nothing. If we want to talk about fitness, I can always give argument about Federer being 37 years old.
IMO Novak Djokovic today makes the history by becoming the only one with all masters won. I heard it somewhere but how I know Ivan Lendl already won all masters. In any case, neither Federer or Nadal were winning all masters, Novak has chance to complete the collection today. He will do it if you ask me.
P.S. This is not pick from the angle of the fan. Who follows me, knows I don't give 5 cent on Serbian teams, players etc. I am betting Djokovic cause IMO he is the right choice this time, the same I was against him many times.
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Djokovic vs Federer prediction
|Djokovic||Pinnacle||2.24||8||2-0 WON (+9.92 units)|