Barty vs Bertens
Kiki Bertens has played very well here in so far three rounds, that's clear. After all, she was winning convincingly including meetings with Karolina Pliskova as well Petra Kvitova. But, I will still go against her today.
Firstly, well done for those mentioned victories but the opponents also helped a lot by not being on the top of their game.
No one can convince me that Bertens now suddenly is some great hard court power cause she isn't. She is much better on clay. Even with this success, Bertens is only 7-6 on hard in 2018 and only 5-13 season ago. In that period Barty went 39-13 combined on hard courts (11-5 in this season). In any case, I rate Barty more dangerous player on this surface.
1-0 is H2H in favor of Barty. It was match on this surface and at the time when Barty was only 18 y.o.
The bottom line, both are top players currently, both in Top 20, Barty slightly better ranked. Bertens has showed slightly better form on this tournament but on this surface I don't think that was enough to she should be now 1.85 favorite against Barty.
I definitely wouldn't bet on Bertens here, though I probably would skip the match if the odds are as initial were. But now when we have Barty is way above 2.00 odds, I will go with her.
Barty vs Bertens prediction
|Barty||Pinnacle||2.11||8||2-0 WON (+8.88 units)|