Sela vs Karlovic
Yesterday my pick was on Ivo Karlovic. It was good choice back then when he defeated Minaur, I hope in the same outcome now only this time in two sets.
I must admit it was a little bit lucky win for Ivo yesterday cause he had more problems to keep his serve than young opponent had. Plus in the third deciding set, before he made crucial late break and won the set with 7-5, Karlovic was the one who needed first to save break points that were also match points for Minaur. But when he needed, Karlovic was able to find his best serv. Obviously, even at age 39, this Croatian veteran still can play on high level, at least on grass. Plus as I mentioned yesterday, Newport is one of his favorite tournaments where he was winning title and was in the finals in past three seasons. IMO, after such win yesterday, Karlovic is now very dangerous and he could go all the way here.
Today's opponent IMO won't be so tough as yesterday. Dudi Sela is one short guy and this is on some hand David and Goliath meeting. The truth is, Sela sometimes surprisingly can serv well. Thus he had great last season on grass. But in 2018 he didn't compete on it much. He was unlucky to meet right away Rafa Nadal on Wimbledon. His second match on grass in this season was exactly here on ATP Newport when he defeated yesterday Bernard Tomic in the underdog role. But I don't think we should give too big credit to that. I mean, really, Tomic is far from some decent level right now.
Karlovic dominates big time in this H2H. Currently it is 7-0 in his favor. What more, Sela has won just one set overall in those 7 mutual meetings. It was long back to 2008 when they met on Australian Open.
Twice they met also on grass, once on Wimbledon 3-0 and once exactly here in Newport 2-0.
Of course, there are many sets between them that were decided in tiebreak. But that's how Karlovic plays. That's his style, keep your own serv at all cost with amazing service and if you can't make damage on the return, then simply wait for a tiebreak where you certainly hold the edge against most of the opponents and definitely against someone like Dudi Sela.
Sela vs Karlovic prediction
|Karlovic -1.5 sets||Pinnacle||2.17||8||2-1 LOST (-8 units)|