Karlovic vs De Minaur
ATP Newport, grass
I like the chances of Karlovic to win this match. I like this odds on him. He might not be too good on grass in 2018, only 1-3 but we all know for what this guy is capable of when competing on this surface is in question.
I think Karlovic was a little bit unfortunate this season on grass. I mean he lost in Halle from Lacko in two Tiebreak sets. You won't see him too often to lose on such way. I mean he would play probably more TB sets than anyone else but that's where he is good in, it is expected from him to win those tiebreaks more often than not. Also on Wimbledon, after beating Youzhny, the big Croat lost to Struff after being 2-0 sets up. Both, 3rd as well 4th set Ivo lost in tiebreak and than tennis marathon in the 5th, 13-11 in favor of Struff.
In some hand 5th set marathon loss was expected cause after all we are talking about guy who is 39 years old. But, again, it was not typical to Karlovic lose two straight sets on Tiebreak before that.
That being said, I have impression Karlovic is underestimated here. Even at 39, he can still play on high level on grass. Plus, this is one of his favorite tournaments. In past three years only, Karlovic was in QF (2017), won the title (2016) and was finalist (2015).
On the other side we have Minaur who is only 19 years of age. So even 20 years younger than Ivo. Experience is not obviously on his side. He is talented and went 13-3 on grass in 2018. But it was mainly thanks to challenger success (one trophy and one finals).
The bottom line, everything is possible but I think Karlovic is the winner here. In worst case I hope we could see Karlovic's classic, meaning three sets match and all three sets decided in a Tiebreak and hopefully Ivo winning two of those three.
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Karlovic vs De Minaur prediction
|Karlovic||Pinnacle||2.09||8||2-1 WON (+8.72 units)|