Karlovic vs De Minaur
1st round match in Newport(grass) between Ivo Karlovic and Alex De Minaur.
Here I will be really quick and clear- my pick is over 25.5 games, which can mean 2 tiebreaks and game over. I think the chances this one to happen are really big. It's grass, Ivo is a monster machine on this surface and we all know that fact with high height. He was eliminated by Struff in Wimbledon being infront 2:0 after losing two tiebreaks and 13:11 in the 5th set. Also last season he was eliminated in the QFs in newport in three tiebreaks.
Alex played amazingly good in Surbiton and Nottingham Challengers, then lost in the third round in Wimbledon by Nadal, winning before that against Cechinatto and Herbert. He is pointed as a favourite in this match, but it will be really tough job to break Karlovic. It means almost the same for the Croatian, because De Minaur is also very consistent on serve and Ivo will not many break chances in the match. I see tiebreaks here and this pick sounds much better, because if it goes into three sets, it will land for sure, but also have very good chances to be correct in straight set win for any of them. First I was looking for over 12.5 games in the 1st set, but don't like the odds, which are way under 2.00. Not temptating at all, so over in the whole match looks much better for me!
Karlovic vs De Minaur prediction
|over 25.5 games||Pinnacle||1.75||10||Won WON (+7.5 units)|