Nadal vs Del Potro
Nadal will face De Potro in Wimbledon QF match.
These two players have 14 matches and Nadal leads 9:5. After today's match it is going to be 10:5. I am fully confident Nadal will progress, but the odds are too small- about 1.35, so I will go with -3.5 AH. In my eyes Nadal will beat the Argentinian 3:1 as correct score in sets, so 4 games difference are nothing for the Spaniard, even against Del Potro.
What I saw since the start of Wimbledon is that Nadal looks really focused and he is the main threat to Federer in the tournament this season. Yeah, I think he has real chances against the Swiss, if he continues with such performances. In his 4 matches till now, he had no problems winning all of them in straight sets, without showing much downs. He didn't played a lot with more than 10 games till now, but against Del Po, he will have to almost for sure. I think they will start equal, but Nadal will take the advantage during the match and don't exclude one of the sets to be with more than one break in Nadal's favour, something like 6:2, which will help a lot for the tip.
Nadal started against an easy opponent like Sela and it was not a surprise he outplayed him, but then his next three opponents were tricky one, if you don't play concentrated enough. Kukushkin and De Minaur made some really good matches on grass before Wimbledon, but Nadal didn't give them much chances. Vesely can be really dangerous, if his service works good, but Nadal had the right answers how to deal with him. On the other side Del Potro started really confident against Gojowczyk and Lopez, beating them without much problems, but then he faces two really difficult tasks against Paire and Simon. Del Potro was broken in all of the three sets against Benoit, but still won all of them. We know that the Frenchman can be really unconcentrated in some part of the matches and Del Potro used his chances. Against Simon it wasn't something different- only in the 1st set Del Potro was not broken and won it in tiebreak. In all of the other sets he was broken one or two times. Still he won in four sets with three tiebreaks in his favour, but he was not convenient at all.
Why I think Nadal will win quite easy- he has unbelievable high percentage of won points on both 1st and 2nd serve. In most of the matches it is more than 70%, which looks unrealistic. If he keeps the percentages close to this level against the Argentinian, he will give no chances to him for sure.
Nadal vs Del Potro prediction
|Nadal -3.5 Games AH||Pinnacle||1.74||10||3-2 LOST (-10 units)|