Gavrilova vs Stosur
2nd round match in Wimbledon between Daria Gavrilova and Samantha Stosur, both playing for Australia.
They know each other very good, there's nothing they can surprise their opponent and the little things will decide who will progress to the third round. H2H they have 5 matches and Stosur leads 3:2. it's interesting to mention that Stosur won all three matches on clay, while Gavrilova won these two, which were played on hard courts in straight sets. That speaks a lot that Gavrilova feels much more comfortable against her experienced opponent on faster surface.Three of the matches were during 2018 and Stosur won the matches between them in Prague and Strasbourg, while Gavrilova in Sydney. It will be interesting who will dominate on grass court, because of the lack of matches between them on that surface. Maybe it's expected to be Daria, if we see their results H2H on faster courts, but prefer not to hurry up too much.
Gavrilova start against Dolehide from the USA was fantastic after straight sets win with really high 1st serve percentage and no break points on her serve. Still it's strange to see after such good stats, that she had 0 aces and 3 DFs on her side, maybe a few aces will help her against Sam tomorrow.. While Samantha also started very well with a win over Shuai Peng in straight sets. Her stats were very solid except one thing, which can be crucial against Daria and it's the break points- two chances for Peng to break her opponent and they lead to two breaks.
Both of them are so unpredictable players and they proved it in the previous grass tournaments they participated. OK, Gavrilova lost to Kvitova in Birmingham in two sets and no one can blame her about this loss, but she was so close to beat Radwanska in Eastbourne- she lead with a set , but found the way to lose the 2nd set in tiebreak and then the match. On the other side Samantha didn't perform very well in Nottingham and Eastbourne with early exits, but in Mallorca she reached the SFs, eliminating Riske, Arruabarrena and Vondrousova on her way, before losing to Sevastova.
Everything can happen tomorrow, but somehow this 10 years difference between them are in favour of Gavrilova for me. They know each other very well and the much more experience Stosur has with her 34 years, will not have big role. Maybe the endurance will be the most important thing here, because the ball will be much faster than on clay courts and we saw in H2H it gives an advantage to Gavrilova. Still it's an equal match on paper, you can miss it if you want, but I will go with Daria here, she is the slight favourite for me to progress to the 3rd round.
Gavrilova vs Stosur prediction
|Gavrilova||Pinnacle||1.86||9||2-0 WON (+7.74 units)|