Barty vs Goerges
2nd round in Birmingham and a match between Ashleigh Barty and Julia Georges.
These two players don't have matches H2H, but can't say there is not a favorite in this pair. It's Ashleigh- she won the title in Nottingham last week after beating Johanna Konta in the big final, together with four more opponents in straight sets. Infact she lost only one set in the final against the British player. Here in Birmingham she started well with clear win over Oceane Dodin. Can't held the fact she was amazing on grass during the last seasons. Barty has to defend the points she earned with the final in Birmingham 2017, when she lost to Kvitova in three sets, so Goerges looks like another victim on her way to the final.
Julia Georges has only one match on grass and it was in the start of this tournament against Maria Sakari. It's hard to predict what she is capable of doing against a player much more in form, even when they don't have any matches H2H. So, I won't risk too much here with straight set win for Barty.. the odds for Ashleigh to win are about 1.40-1.45, which is not enough for me. It's good if you combine it with something else, but as a single pick.. I will go with -2.5 AH for Barty, because I am confident she will win at least one set with a result, different from tiebreak win, which means at least with two games difference. I believe it's not too big handicap for Ashleigh to be covered, when we have in mind her hot current form!
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Barty vs Goerges prediction
|Barty -2.5 Games AH||Pinnacle||1.70||10||0-2 LOST (-10 units)|