S. Williams vs Sharapova
Great match in this R16 of the French Open, Serena Williams against Maria Sharapova.
Both are in some kind of a comeback. Serena after pregnancy while Sharapova after doping scandal. If for Russian player was not surprising to be on this level cause she is alrady for a while on the court after suspension is finished, for Serena we could say it was surprise to be in shape in such short time. I mean she is not in perfect body shape obviously but her results are excellent.
Serena simply as always throughout her entire career, with huge serv rules on the court. So, although her movement on the Paris clay is not very best, she is winning more or less without problems.
The first two rounds for her were over matches but last time we saw under for the first time. Yes, Serena raised the level a little bit compared with start of the tournament but honestly Julia Goerges helped a lot with her poor performance. It seemed to me like German girl was afraid of Serena and played far below expected.
But, Sharapova won't be afraid IMO. The truth is, if someone should be scared of Serena than it's Maria cause she is with embarrassing 2-19 in this H2H, yes 2:19. As a matter fact, those two wins for Sharapova were long back in 2004. Still, I think this won't affect on the Russian player. Sharapova is mentally strong, she is a great champion too and with titles on all Grand Slams.
The most important, I don't expect to see any gifts to Serena from Sharapova like Goerges was giving last time. I refer of course on unforced errors. Of course we could see few double faults from Sharapova cause that's who she is but everything else, I believe Serena would need to earn with hard work.
Also, I don't think this will be typical WTA match on clay where there are more break of serv than games where server won. IMO serv will be advantahe here. From Serena Williams something like that is expected, to heavily dominates with its serv but I think also Sharapova should feel comfortable in her service games. After all Maria is the best server with whom Serena met so far on the tournament. Also I expect from Sharapova to be smart, to mix her shots, to look for angles, to use drop shots more often and thus to push Williams on running more.
All in all, I don't agree with offered odds by which Serena should be favorite here. IMO this is in worst case a 50-50 match if not with slightly advantage for Sharapova. That being said, in my mind odds on Sharapova are nice value but still, due too big respect I have for Serena Williams, I will go with over the totals that IMO is pretty safe bet here.
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S. Williams vs Sharapova prediction
|Over 21.5||Pinnacle||1.83||10||Canceled PUSH (Stake return)|