Djokovic vs Nishikori

QF match in Rome. IMO hardly Novak Djokovic can be such favorite in this match. From my point of view this is much closer to 50-50 situation. So, obviously I condider odds around 2.50 for Nishikori as amazing value.

Djokovic has showed decent tennis here in previous rounds but nothing more than that. He is nowhere close to his best tennis.

On the other side I like very much what I saw from Japanese player.

We can talk about huge domination of Serbian player in H2H but to be honest, what it has to do with current situation? Not much IMO.

The truth is, there was one recent mutual match. It was in Madrid when Novak won at first look easily 2-0 (6:4/7:5). But it was at time when Nishikori IMO was not at level he is now or on the level he was in Monte Carlo.

Namely, in MC Nishikori was outstanding, reached the finals and lost from too strong Nadal. After long and successful tournanent it was expected Nishikori will drop a little bit in form. So, he lost in first match in Barcelona (retired) without rest and also in first match in Madrid from Djokovic where IMO still felt impact from Monte Carlo tournament.

But now in Rome Nishikori is again on top level and if you ask me, he has excellent chance to get revenge to Djokovic for Madrid loss.

We have 2.5 to 3 games handicap o. Japanese player but I think there is no need for that, let's take better value cause Nishikori will win. There will be no Rafa vs Novak semifinal clash.

Unbeatable Odds

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Djokovic vs Nishikori prediction

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Nishikori Pinnacle 2.47 6 2-1 LOST (-6 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+7 -7
Comments (6)
Julian
FairPlayBet, any thoughts on tonight's CSKA-Real basketball match, please?
05/18/2018 - 16:15
FairPlayBet
Hi Julian,

I think 173 is too much for match like that. Both are on neutral court, so reality says field goal % should be lower than usual (when you play at home).
So, UNDER could be smart choice. But for me it's not too strong opinion it's more like a lean.
Probably I will try in bet365 for smaler stake UNDER 180 (around 1.40) combined with CSKA +10 pts (around 1.30)
You can find these options in the alternative game totals and alternative spread. The total odds should be around 1.80.

Good Luck.
05/18/2018 - 16:56
Paul
Julian CSKA will win that game 99%
05/18/2018 - 16:57
Julian
Thank you so much!
05/18/2018 - 19:29
FairPlayBet
I just realized that I made mistake in the previous comment. Obviously I meant to say under 180 @1.40 combined with REAL +10 @1.30, not cska +10.
Of course there wasn't available cska +10 in alternative lines cause they were -3.5 favorite.

I hope @Julian, you weren't confused and that you won some money on that game.
05/18/2018 - 21:42
Julian
Unfortunately I couldn't combine those two options (under 180 & real+10) on the same bet at my bookie (Superbet.ro), they only let you choose one option. But thanks a lot for your answer, I very much appreciated it! Keep up that great work you are doing!
05/19/2018 - 06:18
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