Djokovic vs Nishikori (By: FairPlayBet)
QF match in Rome. IMO hardly Novak Djokovic can be such favorite in this match. From my point of view this is much closer to 50-50 situation. So, obviously I condider odds around 2.50 for Nishikori as amazing value.
Djokovic has showed decent tennis here in previous rounds but nothing more than that. He is nowhere close to his best tennis.
On the other side I like very much what I saw from Japanese player.
We can talk about huge domination of Serbian player in H2H but to be honest, what it has to do with current situation? Not much IMO.
The truth is, there was one recent mutual match. It was in Madrid when Novak won at first look easily 2-0 (6:4/7:5). But it was at time when Nishikori IMO was not at level he is now or on the level he was in Monte Carlo.
Namely, in MC Nishikori was outstanding, reached the finals and lost from too strong Nadal. After long and successful tournanent it was expected Nishikori will drop a little bit in form. So, he lost in first match in Barcelona (retired) without rest and also in first match in Madrid from Djokovic where IMO still felt impact from Monte Carlo tournament.
But now in Rome Nishikori is again on top level and if you ask me, he has excellent chance to get revenge to Djokovic for Madrid loss.
We have 2.5 to 3 games handicap o. Japanese player but I think there is no need for that, let's take better value cause Nishikori will win. There will be no Rafa vs Novak semifinal clash.
Djokovic vs Nishikori prediction
|Nishikori||Pinnacle||2.47||6||2-1 LOST (-6 units)|