Djokovic vs Nishikori
Djokovic against Nishikori in the QFs in Rome.
Most of the QFs today look perfect for over 21.5 games in my eyes, maybe except Rafa against Fognini.
Well, in their first 3 matches Nishikori took two wins and then the winner is always the Serbian. In their last 4 matches on clay all of the wins are for Djokovic, but never so easy. Two times they faced each other in Rome and both matches have finished in three sets. I remember the last one in the SFs in Rome 2016, when Nishikori made such an incredible production on the court, but lost badly in tiebreak in the 3rd set. They also faced themselves in Madrid this year and the Serb won in straight set 7:5 6:4 which also covers the over in my pick.
Nishikori looks better and better, Djokovic also plays much more aggressively in Rome than in the previous tournaments with less unforced errors and more shots close to the baseline. I expect really interesting match and I expect Nishikori to make another close match with Djokovic, but this time to take a set. His performance against Kohlschreiber and the will he showed against Dimitrov made me believe he is really close to his previous level of play before the injury period. But Djokovic is Djokovic and if Nishikori wants to turn the things in his favor and finally to win, he has to clear his mind in the decisive points at first from all the lost close matches against this opponent. All at all over is such an obvious pick here and I can't miss that.
Djokovic vs Nishikori prediction
|over 21.5 games||Pinnacle||1.83||10||2-1 WON (+8.3 units)|