Peng vs Elitsa Kostova
This is a QF match in An-Ning Challenger (China).
The difference between these two players is 150 places in the WTA ranking. Shuai Peng(China) is N39, while Elitsa Kostova(Bulgaria) is N189. Shuai doesn't have good results during 2018. She had 5 losses in a row, but none of them against easier opponents- Kostyuk beat her in Melbourne and we saw that the young Ukrainian is very tallented player. She also lost against Bogdan, Mladenovic, Vesnina and last loss was against other Chinese player Saisai Zheng in Zhengzhou. Here in An-Ning she got two wins in three sets. in my eyes she is not a player who has to play in Challengers for a long time and finally she will find her form. Also her best results recently are in China. In the end of last season she got some great wins against players like Kvitova, Niculescu, Vesnina..
Elitsa Kostova is a typical Chellenger player. I don't think the mix of playing in different continents very often is best for her. In the last month she played in Taly, then in Colombia, again in Europe in Turkey and this week in China. She is keen on that, because she did it for so many years, but adapting is always hard. Her advantage against Peng is that she played much more matches that Peng during the last months and the main advantage is that all of her last tours were on CLAY, while Peng played only on hard and that's actually her first torunament on clay. Kostova served surprisingly good against Cako from USA and then she had good percentage on 1st serve against Jakupovic. It was a marathon of breaks, but that's typical for Challenger women matches.
Peng is seeded as N1 in this tournament, but I don't think she will win it. It's only because of her ranking, not because she is in the best form. In my eyes Saisai Zheng is the main favorite for the title, together with Wickmayer. The odds increased so much for Peng's win during the last hours and I have some doubts if it's not the perfect chance to place a bet on Kostova, but I will try something with good odds- Kostova to win just a set!
I don't know how this match will finish with a straight set win for Peng in the form she is now without any practice on clay. Also she beat Naydenova from Bulgaria in the start in three sets and she is much weaker than Kostova.
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Peng vs Elitsa Kostova prediction
|Kostova +1.5 Sets||10bet||1.61||10||2-0 LOST (-10 units)|