Gastao Elias vs Caraballes
2 days ago, Carballes won Quito which was a gigantic moment for him. That match ended around 21:30 CET. Since then, he has had to make the 8 hour flight (not counting stopovers) to Buenos Aires and prepare for this match against Elias. I have a strong feeling it'll be too much for him to put in another good performance right after winning the first ATP final he ever played in and Elias should have enough to see him off.
Elias has a much better Buenos Aires record than Carballes, he has taken 6 wins here and this year he's played the qualifications as usual where he defeated Souza but lost to Bagnis in three. However, since Edmund cancelled his participation in Buenos Aires he has been given a second chance.
H2H shows they have a straight set win each, both as favorites.
I think what might decide this match is Carballes' need to quickly change from the fast courts in Quito and the atmosphere there. Last year was very much the same for Carballes: he lost to Ramos in the quarter finals in Quito, the next day he lost to Giannessi in the Buenos Aires quals and made a much better run at Rio a week later. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw the same scenario this time around.
Gastao Elias vs Caraballes prediction
|Elias||Bet365||2.10||8||2-0 WON (+8.8 units)|